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Inventory, where art thou?

2009 November 3

Everybody is asking, “when is the inventory coming?” The answer is . . . . no one knows.

  • Notice of Default:                   Prior Month 1.08%          Prior Year:  1 23.44%
  • Notice of Trustee Sale:       Prior Month -5.10%          Prior Year   64.97%

(Stats from Foreclosure Radar 10-13-09)

We keep hearing from the banks that we may have a release from banks/foreclosures after the first of the year, but then again, we have been hearing that for several months. Foreclosure Radar out of Discovery Bay noted in their October newsletter that there is no “shadow inventory” pending.

We are seeing an increase in banks discounting loans on the courthouse steps so that 25% of the homes actually sold at the courthouse steps in September and October, 2009, are being purchased by investors directly at almost a 20% discount. It is unknown if they plan to hold or turn these homes but at least some of these should be put on the market. So once more it is the old story-those that have the money are making the money.

We have heard that some banks are selling to tenants, we actually had one of those which did sell at market value, or trying to sell back to the initial homeowner at a reduced price.

What we do know is that that almost 80% of current sales are either foreclosures or short sales, 60% and 20% respectively. Defaults are continuing to rise but trustee’s sales are down indicating continued slow-down of new inventory in the short term.

Predicting the future is always risky, but we suspect that inventory levels will not begin to rise until April and May next year, due to time lag from trustee’s sale date to vacancy and pre-marketing activities. I do not expect a flood to hit the market all at once. This should keep prices relatively steady and may even show a slight upswing. So, keep your pencils sharpened and continue to write offers only if you are motivated and very well qualified.

Changes to Mortgage Disclosure Requirements

2009 July 30
by Steve O'Sullivan

Coldwell Banker - Sold!The Housing and Economic Recovery Act (HERA) was passed by Congress in 2008 and contains provisions that amend the Truth in Lending Act (TILA). These provisions change requirements surrounding early and final disclosures to homebuyers and address the timing of when fees can be charged. These provisions become effective for all primary residence or second home applications on or after July 30, 2009 and a summary is provided below.

Click here to view or download the entire article.

Our thanks to Bonnie Briggs of Delta Lending for providing this information to us. If you have any questions, you may contact Bonnie at bonnieb@deltalending.com

Going Green May Help Sell Your Home

2009 July 24

It’s becoming the buzz word in housing — “green” homes are what many buyers are interested in these days. According to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), as much as 90 percent of home buyers think that energy efficiency is a very important factor when shopping for a home. These same buyers are also very interested in environment-friendly features including having housing close to parks, public transportation, and well-designed neighborhoods with sidewalks.

The National Association of Home Builders Remodelers (NAHBR) — a council of NAHB — says that most homeowners choose green remodeling projects to help conserve energy. NAHBR recommends the following top ways to increase energy efficiency.

  • Install appropriate insulation in area to be remodeled.
  • Install high-efficiency windows instead of those that minimally meet the energy code.
  • Seal all exterior penetrations in areas being remodeled.
  • Purchase only Energy Star®-rated appliances.
  • Install only low-flow water fixtures.
  • Upgrade to at least an Energy Star®-rated water heater, or better yet, a tankless water heater.
  • Purchase the highest efficiency HVAC system you can afford and make sure it is correctly sized for the area you want to condition.But going green can seem like a huge challenge. There are so many products and things to consider. And if you’re selling your home you may wonder if going green is going to give you more or less green in your bank account. NAHBR says that “72 percent of consumers report energy-efficient features in a home would influence their purchase decision.” The council also adds that “61 percent of consumers would spend more than $5,000 upfront to save on utility costs.” And, consider this, there are approximately 125 million single-family homes in the U.S. but most were built before energy-efficiency developments, which means if your home has newly renovated green remodeling, it can be a buyer’s dream. Featuring your green renovations when you list your home for sale could give you that added value and unique market advantage.

    How to get started. Deciding to make your home green doesn’t have to be overwhelming nor do you have to make the entire house eco-friendly. Try things like installing energy-efficient lighting such as compact fluorescents. Also, change out any old appliances that are using up lots of energy.

    Once you’ve done this, compare your utility bills so that you can show the reduction to your real estate agent. Your agent can then point out the energy-savings to potential buyers. With utility bills on the rise, any savings can be a major influence on buyers. If they see that similar homes cost more to operate than yours, you will at the very least grab their attention.

    Get rid of energy-hog appliances. Sometimes homeowners don’t want to replace an appliance because they are selling their home, but replacing an energy-hog appliance can be a cost-effective way to increase the value of your home. Energy Star-certified appliances use less energy and are more efficient to operate. Many of these appliances are 10 percent to 50 percent more efficient than standard models.

    Don’t forget to sell what you can’t see. Insulation isn’t something homeowners often think to promote, but, if your home is well insulated, it can be a big selling point.

    Make it a healthy home. Going green isn’t just about saving money; it’s also about preserving the earth and our lives. Many people suffer from allergies, asthma, and chemical sensitivities. For instance, if you have placed pollen screens on your home, be sure to promote that feature. It will likely be considered an added bonus.

    Written by Phoebe Chongchua


    Wondering What Your Home Is Worth? — Let me show you.
  • New Challenges In Brentwood Real Estate Market

    2009 June 29

    If the challenges we’ve been facing the past two years weren’t bad enough, we have a new hurdle to overcome. Lack of inventory.

    Not that we’ve run out of foreclosures. They just aren’t on the market right now. Since last year’s moratorium, banks have held homes off the market and they are just starting to trickle back on.

    In a  nutshell, what this means is that consumer demand is high (buyers don’t want to miss the boat) and supply is low (hundreds of foreclosed properties have not been made available) resulting in multiple offers over asking price.

    Despite all that, median sales prices continue to decline as shown in the graph below.

    What’s a buyer to do? Keep looking for the home you want and can afford. Be ready to offer more than asking price if you really want that house. Always to the math. Only offer an amount that works for your budget and makes sense as far as long term value of the property.

    Don’t despair if you don’t get the contract. More homes are coming. Be patient and diligent. You’ll get there!

    10 Mistakes First-Time Home Buyers Make

    2009 April 14

    home-buyers1By Lisa Scherzer, SmartMoney.com

    Apr 10th, 2009

    The declining home values that are plaguing homeowners are just one of the factors creating an opportunity for prospective home buyers.

    Standard & Poor’s latest Case-Shiller index, which tracks home prices across 20 major U.S. cities, reported that values dropped 19% in January from a year earlier.

    Those depressed values, combined with near-record-low mortgage rates and government incentives (an $8,000 first-time home buyers’ tax credit included in the stimulus bill), are luring more first-time home buyers into the market. Indeed, a recent Century 21 Real Estate survey found that more than three-quarters (78%) of potential first-time home buyers say now is a good time to buy.

    If you agree, be aware that buying a home comes with plenty of potential missteps. Here are 10 all-too-common mistakes first-timers make.

    1. Not knowing how much house you can afford.

    Many novice home buyers spend a lot of time researching homes – comparing kitchen layouts and backyard square footage – but very little time researching their financing options. One of the first things buyers should do is talk to a qualified lender and get preapproved for a mortgage, says Claire Clark, senior vice president of business development at Prudential California Realty. Without first figuring out how much house you can afford, you risk falling in love with one you can’t.

    2. Assuming foreclosures are great deals.

    Just because the previous owner owed $450,000 on a house before the bank took it over doesn’t mean it’s worth that much now. Values have slipped significantly, says Jay Michael, partner at Estate Property Group, a Chicago real estate brokerage, so you may not be getting the bargain you think with a foreclosure. Also, most homes owned by lenders or banks have been sitting vacant for months and may have been vandalized. That could require extensive renovation or repair. Weigh the costs of fixing up the property against the savings you’ll likely reap by buying a lower-priced foreclosed home. Read the rest of the article here.

    Latest Real Estate Sales Trends for Brentwood, CA

    2009 March 30

    Here are the latest stats from trulia on Median Sales Price on homes for sale in Brentwood. Seems the trend is still downwards, although it appears that the downslide is tapering off.
    Brentwood median sales prices
    Brentwood Recently Sold Homes

    Median Sales Price is the price at which one half of the homes sold above that amount and one half of the homes sold below that amount. Median Sales Price is based on sales during the most recent 90-day period available and is updated each week to include recent transactions from public record data sources.

    Number of Sales

    Also, the number of homes sold in Brentwood is dropping off from the peak in late 2008. Inventory has dropped as banks have held properties off the market, but more foreclosures are expected to boost supply soon.

    Number of sold homes in Brentwood
    Brentwood Recently Sold Homes

    Number of Sales is a count of all known arms-length residential property sales over the prior 90-day period. Volume for All Bedrooms may be higher than the total volume for 1-4 Bedrooms. All Bedrooms includes not only 1-4 Bedrooms but also 5+ Bedrooms and records where the number of bedrooms is unknown.

    Claim Your 2009 Home Purchase on Your 2008 Tax Return?

    2009 March 24

    This was sent to me from a colleague of mine.

    I just found this information regarding the new tax credit….I don’t think a lot of buyers or agents are aware of the fact that buyers can claim the tax credit on their 2008 return even if they purchase the home in 2009….great incentive to pass on to buyers and agents….

    taxesQ.

    If I’m qualified for the tax credit and buy a home in 2009, can I apply the tax credit against my 2008 tax return? Yes. The law allows taxpayers to choose (“elect”) to treat qualified home purchases in 2009 as if the purchase occurred on December 31, 2008. This means that the 2008 income limit (MAGI) applies and the election accelerates when the credit can be claimed (tax filing for 2008 returns instead of for 2009 returns).

    A.

    Benefit of this election is that a home buyer in 2009 will know their 2008 MAGI with certainty, thereby helping the buyer know whether the income limit will reduce their credit amount. Taxpayers buying a home who wish to claim it on their 2008 tax return, but who have already submitted their 2008 return to the IRS, may file an amended 2008 return claiming the tax credit. You should consult with a tax professional to determine how to arrange this.

    As always, talk to your accountant or tax professional to make sure you qualify and file correctly.

    Loan Modification – Frequently Asked Questions

    2009 February 10

    Do you own a home in Brentwood, Discovery Bay or Antioch? Need some answers about modifying your mortgage?  Here are a few answers from the FAQ’s about Loan Modification for Mortgages from the HUD website.

    “A Loan Modification is a permanent change in one or more of the terms of a mortgagor’s loan, allows the loan to be reinstated, and results in a payment the mortgagor can afford.”Mortgage Loan Modification

    Question 1: In utilizing the Loan Modification option to bring an asset current, can the mortgagee include all fees and corporate advances?

    Answer: Mortgagee Letter 2008-21 states in part: Legal fees and related foreclosure costs for work actually completed and applicable to the current default episode may be capitalized into the modified principal balance.

    Question 2: May a mortgagee perform an interior inspection of the property if they have concerns about property condition?

    Answer: Yes, the mortgagee may conduct any review it deems necessary to verify that the property has no physical conditions which adversely impact the mortgagor’s continued ability to support the modified mortgage payment.

    To read the rest of the article, go to http://www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/sfh/nsc/faqlm.cfm

    A Clean Kitchen Captures Buyers Attention

    2009 January 23

    the_kitchen1

    Many experts recommend that you focus on the kitchen first when preparing your home for sale. For many potential buyers, the kitchen is the most important room in the house.  Since the kitchen has the power to make or break an offer, you should do everything you can to enhance it before showing your home to buyers.  And, most experts agree that next to painting, improvements in the kitchen are the most profitable.  Remember though, money you spend here is a cost of selling, you don’t want to do a full remodel, but rather take some affordable steps to show what you have in the best possible light.

    Start by creating space.  You want the kitchen to look large, light and roomy.  Clear the counters of all clutter.  Take everything you can out of drawers and shelves and move it to storage.  You can almost count on buyers opening your drawers and shelves when they come to see your home.  What you want them to see is space, and plenty of it, not your old pots and pans.

    the_kitchen2Consider paint.  Paint is always the most profitable improvement.  A fresh coat of light, neutral color paint on your kitchen walls will make them look spotless and new.  Exactly the look you want.

    Pay particular attention to the sink.  It should be absolutely free of stains and of course there should be no leaks or drips!   If your faucet looks old and dated, consider replacing it with a new one, it will go a long way towards improving the look of the whole kitchen, for very little money.

    Counter tops.  If your counter tops are looking old and tired, you should consider new ones.  Remember to stick with neutral colors though.

    Freshen up the cabinets.  Replacing the cabinets is expensive and probably doesn’t make sense.  But you can paint them, or put new, modern looking pulls on them for very little money and give them a fresh look.

    In short, buyers will be quick to notice any shortcomings in your kitchen.  So you want to do everything you reasonably can to freshen up your kitchen and give it a new open large look.

    Bright Future for Home Buyers in 2009 – Five Things to Consider

    2009 January 8

    Turn off your TV, stop reading the newspaper and start working on your plan to buy a home in 2009. There are tremendous opportunities to SOLDbuy right now and I suspect that will continue through the rest of the year.

    When will we see the bottom? It’s simple. Sometime after we hit it and we’re on the way back up.

    That may not satisfy your desire to purchase at the perfect time, but it’s the truth. The best time to buy is when it’s the best time to buy for you.

    Here are a few things to consider if you want to take advantage of the current market, especially if you are a first time home buyer.

    1. Home prices are at pre year 2000 levels in many areas. Some are bank owned properties and some are not. Do your homework to find the area that meets your personal needs as well as your financial budget.
    2. Know where you qualify as far as getting your mortage loan before you start to shop. RISMEDIA reports that today “Thirty-year mortgage rates increased slightly last week for the second consecutive week. The weekly average rates for 30-year fixed mortgages increased to 5.10%, up from 5.07% the week prior, according to the Zillow Mortgage Rate Monitor, compiled by leading real estate website Zillow.com(R). Meanwhile, rates for 15-year fixed mortgages decreased to 4.79%, down from 4.86% and 5-1 adjustable rate mortgages increased slightly to 5.62% from 5.56%.”  Keep your eye on rates as part of your purchase strategy.
    3. Know what the tax advantages will be when you buy. Talk to an accountant or tax pro and know how owning a home relates to your overall financial health.
    4. Think of your purchase as an overall part of your life and finances. Buying a home is not an isolated event in your life, think about how it works to fit your needs in the long run.
    5. Take action. Do the work upfront and have a solid plan that you stick to. Buying a home is a very emotional event, and it’s easy to get caught up in the excitement without considering the long term effects of those decisions.

    The time is right to buy for many right now, but not for everyone. Find out if it’s right for you.